See where the wind is carrying things - right now.
Contraband balloons drift where the wind takes them. Drones cross where the border is softest. This map shows both - and every past incident matched to the conditions that carried it.
Recent cross-border balloon and aircraft incidents.
Every reported incursion since December 2025聽-聽launch coordinates, the wind field at the time, drift trajectory, landing point. Source-linked. Each entry is its own page; deep-link any timestamp to the live map at the event location.
NATO jets shoot down drone over Balvi - Latvia's second intercept
On 14 August 2026, NATO jets shot down a foreign drone over Latvia's Balvi region after Russian electronic warfare diverted it into NATO airspace - Latvia's second aerial intercept in two months.
Colleferro munitions plant explosion, 13 Aug 2026
An explosion tore through the KNDS Ammo Italy munitions plant near Rome on 13 August 2026; all 24 workers on site evacuated safely before the blast.
Belitsa munitions plant explosion, 10 Aug 2026
An explosion tore through an EMCO ammunition depot near Belitsa, Bulgaria, on 10 August 2026 after a truck fire spread to a warehouse; no casualties, cause still under investigation.Our focus regions.
Coverage is concentrated along the EU鈥檚 eastern edge聽-聽the land and sea boundaries between member states and Russia or Belarus.
EU鈥揃elarus land border
Poland, Lithuania, and Latvia share over 1,200 km of EU-external border with Belarus. Wind at six altitudes from Bia艂owie偶a to the Latvian frontier.Suwa艂ki Gap
The 65-km land bridge between Kaliningrad and Belarus - the narrowest link between the Baltic states and the rest of NATO.Kaliningrad
The Russian exclave bordered by Poland and Lithuania - the closest point of Russian-controlled territory to the Suwa艂ki Gap, 20 km east.Vilnius International Airport
Lithuania's main airport, 30 km from the Belarusian border - closed more than ten times by balloon incursions since October 2025.Gulf of Finland
Baltic arm between Estonia and Finland, closed to the east by Russia - dense AIS traffic, GPS-spoofing reports, and stray drone intercepts.Baltic states鈥揜ussia border
Estonia's Narva line, Lake Peipus, and Latvia's eastern frontier - the EU's direct land boundary with Russia. AIS tracking covers the Baltic Sea approaches.Latest briefs.
From balloon incursions over Polish airspace to drone events near Vilnius and Suwalki Gap overflights - reconstructed from ADS-B tracks, wind models, and open-source evidence. For OSINT analysts and defence journalists covering Baltic security.
